Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.191631 0.218124 0.246558 0.279299 0.315911 0.355541 0.401638
2025-12-21 0.154734 0.189797 0.229952 0.279172 0.337700 0.404886 0.487655
2025-12-28 0.131046 0.171486 0.220452 0.283744 0.362983 0.458474 0.581779
2026-01-04 0.114377 0.158568 0.214783 0.290905 0.390561 0.515774 0.684059
2026-01-11 0.099458 0.145415 0.206580 0.292972 0.410705 0.564225 0.777975
2026-01-18 0.088941 0.136498 0.202441 0.299182 0.435817 0.619931 0.884353
2026-01-25 0.080737 0.129591 0.199935 0.306770 0.462628 0.678939 0.998335
2026-02-01 0.071513 0.119904 0.192171 0.305638 0.476365 0.720034 1.089346
2026-02-08 0.063743 0.111409 0.185094 0.304465 0.489336 0.760133 1.180577
2026-02-15 0.057043 0.103752 0.178382 0.302926 0.501128 0.798605 1.270975
2026-02-22 0.052981 0.099936 0.177245 0.309768 0.525885 0.857380 1.394405
2026-03-01 0.048071 0.094064 0.172100 0.309498 0.539063 0.898824 1.493204
2026-03-08 0.043549 0.088478 0.167088 0.309304 0.552799 0.942695 1.599640
2026-03-15 0.039631 0.083531 0.162670 0.309650 0.567290 0.988429 1.711423
2026-03-22 0.036870 0.080442 0.161216 0.314943 0.590340 1.049135 1.850428
2026-03-29 0.034749 0.078347 0.161339 0.322964 0.618481 1.119607 2.008933
2026-04-05 0.032114 0.074887 0.158543 0.325322 0.636627 1.174046 2.143220
2026-04-12 0.030262 0.072832 0.158222 0.332195 0.663188 1.244072 2.307171
2026-04-19 0.028728 0.071274 0.158702 0.340560 0.692884 1.320899 2.486328
2026-04-26 0.026351 0.067559 0.154476 0.339331 0.704459 1.366154 2.612298
2026-05-03 0.024203 0.064096 0.150421 0.338052 0.715709 1.411184 2.739724
2026-05-10 0.022225 0.060782 0.146354 0.336365 0.725931 1.454654 2.866113
2026-05-17 0.021179 0.059583 0.146731 0.343886 0.754636 1.533484 3.060189